The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

Discover how negative convexity affects bond prices, key risks, and how to calculate it. Learn why mortgage and callable ...

Investors who own bonds or a bond fund watch to see if Treasury yields and interest rates will rise and to what extent. If rates are increasing, they may avoid bonds with longer-term maturities, ...

The 3-Month Treasury Bill’s rate of 5.50% is currently the highest among US treasuries as of June 2023. It was 0% at the beginning of last year. The 3-month rate is currently higher than the 3-year by ...

The yield curve typically slopes up and to the right, with longer-dated bonds sporting higher yields than short-term Treasury bills. A historic yield-curve inversion may spell trouble for the U.S.