MIT researchers have developed a method that generates more accurate uncertainty measures for certain types of estimation. This could help improve the reliability of data analyses in areas like ...

PICATINNY ARSENAL, N.J.--In case you've forgotten the adage that "uncertainty is the only certainty," Picatinny Arsenal's Statistics Group is prepared to remind you. Its latest initiative known as ...

A new technique can help researchers who use Bayesian inference achieve more accurate results more quickly, without a lot of additional work. Pollsters trying to predict presidential election results ...

By borrowing tools such as "free energy" and the "partition function" from physics, the method identifies when a model is likely to fail due to complexity or lack of data. It also estimates how much ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract Statistical dose-response analyses in radiation epidemiology can produce misleading results if they fail to account for radiation dose ...

Statistical uncertainty in data—or random error in a measurement—particularly when it is used to inform funding and policies, can lead to a variety of issues ...